Thomas Friedman feels like an old friend at this point. His voice is calm and rational and he talks
about things that seem irreconcilable or impossible in measured tones of
patient optimism. His most recent book,
subtitled An Optimist’s Guide to Thriving in the Age of Accelerations, was given
to both me and my son by another optimist, my Aunt Julie – someone who has, at best, cautiously embraced technological
change – the central theme of this book.
So she must have been taken both by the evidence that Friedman marshals
that we have passed a critical moment in technological advances, and he does, indeed, make a compelling argument for the confluence of the technologies of the smart
phone, Artificial Intelligence and the capacities of the cloud creating a new
world order he characterizes as a supernova that we don’t yet appreciate, and
that this wave is something that we should stay on top of especially if we,
like my son, are about to enter the workforce.
If we don’t stay on top of it, the message is, we will be drowned by it
(can you tell that I am returning from a vacation that included body surfing in
big waves generated by a distant tropical storm?).
This book was published before Trump’s election and it was
anticipating – or aware of – some of his early campaign rhetoric, but did not,
I don’t think, take seriously the possibility that he might get elected, even
though the British Exit from the European Union was cited as a current measure
of our cultural zeitgeist. Friedman is
terribly concerned by the breakdown in the ability of Washington to work collaboratively,
something that has, at least to this point in the summer of 2017, only been
exacerbated by the Trump presidency.
Even more, the country is deeply divided, with Trump having historically
low rates of approval at this point in his presidency – 40% of the electorate
disapprove of him – but incredibly high rates of approval among registered
Republicans – 85% of whom approve of him.
So the only way, I think, to get that 40% overall number is to realize
that almost no one who is not a republican approves of Trump, but almost
everyone who is, does. Ouch.
My Aunt Julie is a political conservative – but a liberal
human being who has travelled to over 100 countries. She has done a lot of travelling in what
Friedman calls “The World of Disorder”, the places where the rule of law does
not exist. She is, I think, an old
school conservative – and Friedman lists the progressive accomplishments of a
variety of republican leaders – though he neglects to include Nixon’s opening
of trade with China – something that Aunt Julie used as an opportunity to
become one of the first American tourists there in many, many years. All that said, it wouldn’t surprise me to
learn that Julie had voted for Trump – though I haven’t asked her. But I think that Aunt Julie, in part by her
having recommended this book to me, is not really the person that we need to
worry about. And we do need to worry
about people. You see, Friedman is
proposing that, to move forward in this new world, we need to do that as a
community – we need to have support from others to make transitions – we need
to figure out how to harness the power of the hurricane while living in the
relatively still center of it – a center that is always moving – but one that
we can stay safely inside of when we have others who are working with us to
track the progress of the storm. To
simply stick a stake in the ground and stay here – as Trump seems to be
proposing with his Make America Great Again agenda – and the do nothing
congress is doing with gridlock – would, in the long run, doom us to failure.
So who is it that we need to bring on board? Who do we need to convince that what Friedman
is saying makes sense? And how do we go
about doing that? Friedman’s proposal is
that we have leaders who do that.
Fortunately he is banking as much or more on local as national leaders;
people who work to build communities wherever we are. Friedman literally goes home to the town of St.
Louis Park – a town that can be seen as a suburb of Minneapolis – St. Paul, but
a town that Friedman takes pains to point out is a complete community – not a
satellite. This town was the first to
welcome Jews who emigrated from the Minneapolis ghetto they had shared with
African Americans until the 1950s. The
town today has held onto the embracing ethos that was in place then and more
than 40 languages are spoken by its 47,000 residents. At its heart is a strong school system that
is well funded by local taxes and attracts superb teachers. Also at its heart is a sense of trust – among
and between city leaders who work together to solve problems – and between the
leaders and the citizens, citizens who understand that the leaders have the
best interests of the community in mind and, when those leaders mess up – as they
did when they bought a Wi-Fi system paid for by the city that would provide
free internet access for the town and it failed when the solar panels driving
it didn’t melt the snow and ice covering them – the citizens forgive the
council members and asked them what is the next thing that we are going to try
because they get it that the council members were doing their best to do
something that would make everyone’s life better. Friedman acknowledges, however, that one
thing that has buoyed this community is the relative stability of the local
economy – one that has led to real economic growth of 2% per year for decades –
and one that has meant that people’s children end up earning more than their
parents did – a pillar of the American dream that has not occurred in the
places chronicled in Hillbilly Elegy, a book that discusses rust belt cities in
Ohio and holler towns in Kentucky.
Somewhere in between Friedman’s St. Louis Park and HillbillyElegy’s Middletown lie a lot of people.
These people are frequently smart and capable. They may own small businesses or work for
them. The central metaphor of this book
will, however, be lost on many of them because the central metaphor is that our
society should mirror mother nature and evolve a la Darwin’s theory of
evolution. I hate to tell you this Tom,
but a lot of people don’t buy evolution.
In fact, according to my history of psychology text, fewer people believe in the US today believe in evolution than
did in the 1920s. Ironically, as we become more enamored of
technology and as it takes over more and more of our lives, we seem to have
figured out how to separate it from the science that spawned it.
Evolution was a hard thing for me to wrap my head
around. When I read Darwin, much of his
evidence for evolution had to do with relatively quick adaptations to the
environment. Moths that were white and
were quickly eaten when the bark was black were suddenly dominant after white
ash from industry covered the bark and the black moths were easily spotted
prey. Evolution as a whole has taken a
whole lot longer and has involved many more parts than Darwin could have known
about. I learned at the natural history
museum in Chicago last summer that that our atmosphere was generated by sea
plants and animals – land animals couldn’t have existed until millions of years
of oxygen had been collected in the areas around the earth – and the atmosphere
fended off many of the deadliest of cosmic rays. Or at least that is how I remember it. In any case, it took me a long time to realize
that a million years is a long time and that a lot of mistakes can be made in
that time in the process of discovering a mutation that is helpful rather than
harmful.
But some very smart people don’t buy that. They have a much narrower view of history
and, on top of that, they have some kind of belief system that generally
includes the ways in which the world will end in the relatively near future –
and some kind of grand cosmic scheme will be realized. There is an almost surreal fascination with
this. But I am getting derailed. The point is that Friedman thought he was
preaching to the choir – he thought he was talking the rational majority of us,
but at this moment it feels like the rational ones are in the minority. I think if he were to rewrite the book today
he would have to acknowledge that our “world of order” has many more powerful
lines of disorder in it than he originally imagined. And I think he would have spent more time
talking about the importance of education – in both the world of order and the
world of disorder. We need a population
that can think in order to stay ahead of this supernova. We can’t just access facts on the web, we
have to have a cogent approach to the world as a whole and to learn about how
we use evidence to make decisions – not just intuition and folklore.
One of the striking moments in the documentary about building
the biggest house in America, The
Queen of Versailles, is when the mother of the title is worried about their
losing their wealth and that the children may have to get an education because
the wealth would have protected them from having to prepare for a vocation,
which is what she experienced college and graduate school as being about. Unfortunately the board and administrators of
my liberal arts college agree with her and are trying to market us as a means
to a financially secure future. I don’t
disagree that this is a byproduct of a college education, but my belief is antiquated
one – one that is a holdover from when landed gentry were the only ones
eligible to vote. Education should
provide an informed electorate. If we
are going to govern ourselves, we need to be prepared to think like governors –
and we need to cooperatively utilize our strengths to build the best possible
union.
As a psychoanalyst and an educator, I am aware of multiple
ironies at this point. One is that
education, like evolution, inevitably leads to change, so those who are
entrenched in positions that don’t acknowledge the supernova and its impact are
not going to support education. At this
point I can hear the reluctant wife quoting the former secretary of the Veteran’s
Administration, Eric Shinseki, who stated that if you don’t like change, you
will like irrelevancy even less. The
more immediate ironies are that teachers like me, who are change agents and
tend to be supportive of personal and cultural change - tend to work in
institutions that are very conservative and slow to change. Well, the supernova, I think, has us in its
cross hairs. We need to figure out how
to use it to educate – though it is, in its current configuration, best at conveying
facts, not at teaching how to think – and interact – like governors. I am also aware of psychoanalysis as a discipline
that emphasizes the functioning of the individual over the functioning of the
group – not that we haven’t, since Freud, had a lot to say about the ways that
groups function. But I think we need to
up our game on that front – and even more to track the ways in which the
supernova is impacting the functioning of the individual.
Post Script: This post led to a correspondence with Aunt Julie in which she clarified that she did not vote for Trump - she is a fiscal, but not a social conservative. We have not finished the conversation about our values and how they mesh and contrast, and probably never will; one of the joys and frustrations of being human.
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