Greetings on Labor Day Weekend – a two day weekend at my University. We have done away with all long weekends this
fall semester to try to keep students from traveling home… In my last Covid chronicle, I shared an
example of that plan being foiled on a non-national holiday weekend – I imagine
it will be foiled this weekend much more frequently…
I also realized after my last posting that I have been unnecessarily
harsh on the very hardworking members of the University who have worked over
the summer to create plans for the school to have a “safe” or at least a “safe
as possible” reopening.
The issue is that my University is small. We do not have a medical school. We do not have a department of epidemiology. And so the members of the task force that have been formed to address the problem are people like our Associate Dean of Arts and Sciences. She is a very bright woman. She is an exceptionally hard worker. She has published two books. She is an excellent communicator. Her field is the history of Modern Europe and her books are about the impact of war on civilians.
I’m not sure that we would be better off at a school that has an epidemiology department. The advantage of having the huge National University system that we have is that individuals in each of those Universities can focus on very narrow aspects of their field. So the likelihood of an epidemiologist with a specialty in air-borne diseases being at an institution that also has a preventative disease specialist in this area, and that they are both ready to transform the research literature into a working plan to protect their institution is probably pretty small.
In fact, a September 4th 2020 New York Times Table suggests that, if this is the case, it has not been the case at a number of large universities. The table below tracks the current cities in the US that have had the most outbreaks of Covid in the last two weeks:
New cases, last two
weeks
METRO OR MICRO AREA |
POPULATION |
RECENT
CASES |
PER
1,000 |
|
1 |
Muskogee, Okla. |
67,997 |
780 |
10.3 |
2 |
Statesboro, Ga. |
79,608 |
753 |
7.3 |
3 |
Ames, Iowa |
97,117 |
1,256 |
6.7 |
4 |
Iowa City, Iowa |
173,105 |
2,027 |
6.4 |
5 |
Pullman, Wash. |
50,104 |
518 |
6.3 |
6 |
Oxford, Miss. |
54,019 |
468 |
5.6 |
7 |
Auburn-Opelika,
Ala. |
164,542 |
1,683 |
4.7 |
8 |
Bloomington, Ill. |
187,155 |
1,276 |
4.5 |
9 |
Laredo, Texas |
276,652 |
1,595 |
4.4 |
10 |
Pine Bluff, Ark. |
87,804 |
607 |
4.3 |
11 |
Columbia, Mo. |
180,463 |
1,230 |
4.2 |
12 |
Ontario, Ore. |
54,522 |
460 |
4.0 |
13 |
Stillwater, Okla. |
81,784 |
472 |
3.9 |
14 |
Manhattan, Kan. |
98,615 |
532 |
3.8 |
15 |
Grand Forks, N.D. |
100,815 |
793 |
3.8 |
16 |
Greenville, N.C. |
180,742 |
1,357 |
3.7 |
17 |
Milledgeville, Ga. |
53,347 |
526 |
3.6 |
18 |
Lubbock, Texas |
322,257 |
1,596 |
3.6 |
19 |
Winona, Minn. |
50,484 |
249 |
3.6 |
20 |
Charleston-Mattoon,
Ill. |
61,387 |
425 |
3.6 |
509 |
New
York City area |
20.0
mil. |
9,550 |
0.3 |
1
2
3
4
5
6
Limited to areas with at least 50,000 people. Recent cases are
those announced in the last two weeks, but in some cases may have taken place
earlier because of delays in reporting.
Notice anything funny about those cities? Eight of the top ten cities are College towns
and about 16 of the top twenty. Many of
these cities have large Universities in them that likely have departments of
epidemiology and medical centers. So why
have they become super-spreader sites? I
don’t think that the people with the specialized knowledge at those places are
likely being tapped by the top administrators.
Or, if they are, they apparently are not having an impact on the rate of
infection that occurs when people come from all over and live together in close
quarters. Certainly there have been
plenty of pictures of students at parties without masks or distancing in
newspapers.
Could we have seen this coming? Should we have some sort of National
oversight of this? There is obviously a
huge divide in the country on this. But
when we have agencies who are charged with exactly this kind of oversight and
they are not being called on to offer advice or guidelines, each of these Universities
has to figure out on their own how to handle what is occurring. And, of course, this is going on at the High
School and Elementary School level. So
we have a wonderful natural uncontrolled experiment going on – unfortunately,
the consequences of this experiment are potentially lethal.
What do we do with students after they have become exposed
or infected? On my campus they are quarantined
whether they are diagnosed or not. On
Monday, we had about 250 students quarantining in their dorm rooms or in their
off campus housing. By Friday it was
287, which is about 5% of the student body.
One in twenty students who are on campus cannot go to class.
Now we only have, as of yesterday, 37 confirmed cases among
students and 2 among faculty and staff (though this number will rise as
diagnostic testing information can come in days later and we will only now
retrospectively how many cases we had).
So things are not grim yet. But
if we have to close, do we send those who are quarantined home? Who lives in those homes? How much risk do the quarantined (and those
we haven’t been able to identify) pose to their families?
I said things are not grim yet, but I was speaking about
numbers. Teaching in a classroom that is
set up to allow students to be there in person or by zoom, this week in two
classes I only had two students in the classroom with the rest, around twenty,
showing up on zoom. When I had all the
students come in to take an exam – they got out of there as quickly after the
exam as they could.
I was in a zoom meeting with a fellow faculty member earlier
in the week, and she was in her office on campus. She has decided to work from there because the
building is essentially empty. Few
students come to class and those that do not linger. All faculty are working from home. The administrative support staff, as I noted
in the last post, are stupidly required to be on campus whether they could work
from home or not, but our building, usually a hive of activity, is tomblike –
and our interactions with each other involve masks so they are muted and odd.
Grim. I think that
the experience – as opposed to the usual jubilance mixed with the grind of work
has been replaced by a certain kind of hollowness. The faculty who is in her office has also
seen her in-person student attendance dwindle, and her sense is that her
students are scared to come to class.
Ironically, we are doing much better than the nearby
University that decided to have only online courses and wait to see how things
went. This college town in the next
county has now become so infected that the county as a whole has gone from
orange to red on our state’s system. The
students, not exposed to the classroom, may not be taking as seriously as our
students are, what all of this means…
There are many other variables playing into this – but I can’t help
thinking that our approach to having classes in person – as much as I railed
against it – is so far looking like a better alternative to the wait and see
approach…
We, as the American Psychoanalytic Association guidelines
for re-opening so plainly put it, are forced to come to the realization that we
are currently primarily a threat to each other.
Fortunately everyone that I have seen in our building is wearing masks –
and they are using tons of disinfectant.
I wear a mask until I get home.
The first thing I do when I get inside is to hang it up and then to wash
my hands. Wearing it all the way home
helps remind me not to touch my face until it is safe to do so.
Will our local lack of knowledge lead to a level of fear
that keeps our numbers down so that we don’t have to inflict infected students
on their families? Will this cohort of
students feel warmly about their college years or will they look back on them
as a time of grimness? What about those
who become ill and feel concern – and for some those feelings may range into terror? How will we remember this era? Will we use our defense mechanisms to
distance ourselves from this experience?
Will the denial that my university's administration has used permeate our
consciousness as well? Or will we be
forced to acknowledge the grimness – not just of what we are going through –
but of not having a road map to get out of it?
All the while, a beautiful fall begins to unfold around us in this most surreal of years....
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